Universe: the 20 largest US names as of 2021-12-31 — no hindsight + SPY
Universe 2021 (SPY, AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, TSLA, META, NVDA, BRK.B, UNH, JNJ, JPM, V, HD, WMT, PG, BAC, MA, PFE, DIS, ADBE) · RSI(14) · entry < 30 · exit ≥ 60 · 10% stop · cost 5 bp/side · lake ends 2026-08-26 · generated by pooled_report.py
| Total return | What $1 became over the whole window, minus the $1. +70% means $1 → $1.70. Depends on how long the window is, so it is not comparable across windows of different length. |
| CAGR (compound annual growth rate) | The steady yearly rate that would have produced the same total return. +70% over 4.65 years is a CAGR of 12.1%: $1 × 1.1214.65 ≈ $1.70. Use it to compare windows of different length. Rule of thumb: money doubles in about 72 ÷ CAGR years (12% → 6 years). |
| Sharpe ratio | Return per unit of risk: average daily return divided by the day-to-day wobble (standard deviation), annualised. Cash rate assumed 0 here. Rough scale for a long-only equity strategy: < 0.5 is weak, 0.5–1 is ordinary (SPY itself has lived around 0.5–0.8 over long periods), 1–1.5 is good, above 2 over a multi-year window is rare and usually a sign something is being missed. A strategy that is in cash most of the time can have a high Sharpe and a low CAGR at the same time — both numbers matter. |
| Max drawdown (max DD) | The worst peak-to-trough fall in the equity curve, as a percentage of the peak. −25% means that at some point you were sitting on 25% less than your previous high. It is the number that decides whether you would have stuck with the strategy. Recovering from −25% needs +33%; from −50% needs +100%. |
| Ann. vol (annualised volatility) | How much the equity curve wobbles: standard deviation of daily returns × √252. SPY is typically 15–20%. Sharpe = CAGR-ish ÷ vol, roughly. |
| Avg. invested / days with a position | How much of the time (or how much of the money) was actually in the market. A strategy in the market 40% of the time is being compared with SPY, which is in 100% of the time — a lower CAGR at a much lower drawdown can still be the better deal. |
| Win rate / average trade | Share of closed trades that made money, and the mean net return per trade. A 75% win rate with +4% average wins and −10% average losses is fine; a 40% win rate with small wins and the same losses is not. Count the trades, too: 8 trades prove nothing, 150 start to. |
| Avg hold | Trading sessions (not calendar days) between entry and exit. 21 sessions ≈ one month. |
| Sleeves vs pooled | Sleeves: every name gets 1/21 of the money permanently and sits in cash when it has no signal — capital is mostly idle, so CAGR is low and drawdown tiny. Pooled, max N: one pot; when a name signals, it gets (pot ÷ N) if there is cash and fewer than N names are held, lowest RSI first. The money follows the signals, so returns and drawdowns are both bigger. |
| Buy & hold benchmarks | SPY: the index, dividends reinvested. Equal-weight B&H of the 20: 1/20 in each name at the start, never touched — the fairest yardstick for a rule that only trades these 20 names, and on today's top 20 it carries the hindsight of knowing which names won. |
| start | strategy CAGR | SPY | QQQ | EW-20 | strategy Sharpe | SPY | QQQ | strategy max DD | SPY | QQQ | trades | verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 14.1% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 0.83 | 0.75 | 0.67 | -19.0% | -24.5% | -34.8% | 133 | beats SPY, beats QQQ; DD shallower than SPY |
| 2023 | 19.5% | 22.6% | 31.9% | 31.4% | 1.30 | 1.44 | 1.48 | -13.8% | -18.8% | -22.8% | 92 | trails SPY, trails QQQ; DD shallower than SPY |
| 2024 | 14.3% | 21.4% | 24.6% | 20.5% | 0.94 | 1.32 | 1.16 | -13.8% | -18.8% | -22.8% | 69 | trails SPY, trails QQQ; DD shallower than SPY |
| 2025 | 18.9% | 19.1% | 22.9% | 11.7% | 1.08 | 1.10 | 1.03 | -13.7% | -18.8% | -22.8% | 46 | trails SPY, trails QQQ; DD shallower than SPY |
| 2026 | 21.1% | 20.4% | 26.3% | 9.1% | 1.31 | 1.44 | 1.20 | -11.7% | -8.9% | -11.7% | 18 | beats SPY, trails QQQ; DD deeper than SPY |
Longest stretch below the previous high: strategy 171 sessions, SPY 488, QQQ 487, EW-20 492.
| year | pooled max 5 | SPY B&H | QQQ B&H | EW B&H of the 20 | beat SPY? | beat QQQ? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | -6.9% | -18.6% | -33.2% | -24.3% | yes | yes |
| 2023 | 39.2% | 26.2% | 54.9% | 32.0% | yes | no |
| 2024 | 7.5% | 24.9% | 25.6% | 38.3% | no | no |
| 2025 | 15.2% | 17.7% | 20.8% | 17.7% | no | no |
| 2026* | 14.8% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 6.4% | yes | no |
* partial year. Chained from the full run, i.e. each year starts with whatever the strategy was holding on 31 December.
| total return | CAGR | Sharpe | max DD | ann. vol | exposure | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pooled max 5 | 84.3% | 14.1% | 0.83 | -19.0% | 17.9% | 3.0 pos. avg · any position 92% of days |
| SPY buy & hold | 70.4% | 12.2% | 0.75 | -24.5% | 17.5% | 100% |
| QQQ buy & hold | 82.0% | 13.8% | 0.67 | -34.8% | 23.4% | 100% |
| Equal-weight buy & hold of the 20 | 73.2% | 12.6% | 0.74 | -29.6% | 18.2% | 100% |
133 trades · win rate 60.9% · average 2.66% (wins 10.81%, losses -10.04%) · hold 25.9 sessions · 49 stop-outs.
| total return | CAGR | Sharpe | max DD | ann. vol | exposure | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pooled max 5 | 91.7% | 19.5% | 1.30 | -13.8% | 14.7% | 2.7 pos. avg · any position 91% of days |
| SPY buy & hold | 110.4% | 22.6% | 1.44 | -18.8% | 15.0% | 100% |
| QQQ buy & hold | 174.5% | 31.9% | 1.48 | -22.8% | 20.2% | 100% |
| Equal-weight buy & hold of the 20 | 170.6% | 31.4% | 1.49 | -23.3% | 19.7% | 100% |
92 trades · win rate 67.4% · average 3.82% (wins 10.45%, losses -9.88%) · hold 26.8 sessions · 27 stop-outs.
| total return | CAGR | Sharpe | max DD | ann. vol | exposure | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pooled max 5 | 42.3% | 14.3% | 0.94 | -13.8% | 15.6% | 2.8 pos. avg · any position 92% of days |
| SPY buy & hold | 67.0% | 21.4% | 1.32 | -18.8% | 15.7% | 100% |
| QQQ buy & hold | 79.1% | 24.6% | 1.16 | -22.8% | 21.0% | 100% |
| Equal-weight buy & hold of the 20 | 64.0% | 20.5% | 1.26 | -20.0% | 15.9% | 100% |
69 trades · win rate 63.8% · average 2.83% (wins 10.03%, losses -9.83%) · hold 26.5 sessions · 22 stop-outs.
| total return | CAGR | Sharpe | max DD | ann. vol | exposure | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pooled max 5 | 33.0% | 18.9% | 1.08 | -13.7% | 17.5% | 2.8 pos. avg · any position 95% of days |
| SPY buy & hold | 33.3% | 19.1% | 1.10 | -18.8% | 17.4% | 100% |
| QQQ buy & hold | 40.5% | 22.9% | 1.03 | -22.8% | 22.7% | 100% |
| Equal-weight buy & hold of the 20 | 20.0% | 11.7% | 0.78 | -18.4% | 15.8% | 100% |
46 trades · win rate 60.9% · average 3.43% (wins 11.97%, losses -9.85%) · hold 24.8 sessions · 16 stop-outs.
| total return | CAGR | Sharpe | max DD | ann. vol | exposure | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pooled max 5 | 13.2% | 21.1% | 1.31 | -11.7% | 15.6% | 3.2 pos. avg · any position 98% of days |
| SPY buy & hold | 12.7% | 20.4% | 1.44 | -8.9% | 13.6% | 100% |
| QQQ buy & hold | 16.3% | 26.3% | 1.20 | -11.7% | 21.4% | 100% |
| Equal-weight buy & hold of the 20 | 5.8% | 9.1% | 0.75 | -11.7% | 12.7% | 100% |
18 trades · win rate 61.1% · average 3.63% (wins 11.91%, losses -9.38%) · hold 28.6 sessions · 6 stop-outs.
| name | trades | win rate | avg trade | sum of trade returns | stops |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSLA | 16 | 38% | 3.2% | 50.5% | 10 |
| AAPL | 6 | 100% | 6.9% | 41.3% | 0 |
| PG | 7 | 100% | 5.8% | 40.9% | 0 |
| ADBE | 15 | 60% | 2.7% | 39.9% | 6 |
| META | 8 | 50% | 4.8% | 38.6% | 4 |
| V | 3 | 100% | 11.1% | 33.2% | 0 |
| BAC | 9 | 67% | 3.7% | 32.9% | 3 |
| UNH | 9 | 67% | 3.1% | 28.1% | 3 |
| SPY | 2 | 100% | 11.4% | 22.8% | 0 |
| PFE | 9 | 78% | 2.1% | 18.7% | 2 |
| MA | 4 | 75% | 4.0% | 15.8% | 0 |
| DIS | 8 | 50% | 1.9% | 14.8% | 3 |
| BRK.B | 4 | 75% | 2.7% | 10.9% | 1 |
| GOOGL | 3 | 67% | 3.3% | 9.8% | 1 |
| JNJ | 6 | 67% | 1.1% | 6.8% | 1 |
| MSFT | 5 | 40% | 1.2% | 5.9% | 3 |
| WMT | 2 | 50% | -1.3% | -2.7% | 1 |
| AMZN | 7 | 43% | -0.5% | -3.3% | 4 |
| NVDA | 1 | 0% | -10.1% | -10.1% | 1 |
| JPM | 1 | 0% | -10.8% | -10.8% | 1 |
| HD | 8 | 38% | -3.9% | -31.0% | 5 |
| name | entry | exit | entry px | exit px | return | hold | exit reason | RSI at signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIS | 2022-01-24 | 2022-02-16 | 130.72 | 150.26 | 14.8% | 17 | rsi_exit | 23.5 → 61.9 |
| ADBE | 2022-01-06 | 2022-02-17 | 510.00 | 459.00 | -10.1% | 29 | stop | 27.8 → 31.2 |
| HD | 2022-01-19 | 2022-02-22 | 327.21 | 294.49 | -10.1% | 23 | stop | 29.3 → 22.0 |
| META | 2022-02-16 | 2022-02-24 | 210.56 | 189.40 | -10.1% | 5 | stop | 27.3 → 29.0 |
| AMZN | 2022-01-21 | 2022-03-08 | 149.95 | 134.96 | -10.1% | 31 | stop | 27.6 → 33.0 |
| PFE | 2022-02-23 | 2022-03-15 | 37.13 | 41.05 | 10.5% | 14 | rsi_exit | 27.2 → 61.1 |
| SPY | 2022-01-24 | 2022-03-23 | 406.51 | 421.81 | 3.7% | 41 | rsi_exit | 26.5 → 60.3 |
| V | 2022-03-08 | 2022-03-30 | 183.57 | 218.18 | 18.7% | 16 | rsi_exit | 23.5 → 65.2 |
| DIS | 2022-03-15 | 2022-04-25 | 125.79 | 113.21 | -10.1% | 28 | stop | 29.4 → 31.2 |
| ADBE | 2022-02-22 | 2022-04-29 | 440.35 | 396.31 | -10.1% | 47 | stop | 28.1 → 37.2 |
| AMZN | 2022-05-02 | 2022-05-09 | 122.40 | 110.16 | -10.1% | 5 | stop | 29.4 → 23.3 |
| DIS | 2022-04-27 | 2022-05-12 | 111.92 | 99.77 | -10.9% | 11 | stop | 27.6 → 24.6 |
| BAC | 2022-04-18 | 2022-05-20 | 33.60 | 30.24 | -10.1% | 24 | stop | 26.4 → 33.0 |
| META | 2022-04-28 | 2022-05-24 | 201.15 | 178.98 | -11.1% | 18 | stop | 27.8 → 39.0 |
| BRK.B | 2022-05-13 | 2022-06-13 | 311.25 | 280.12 | -10.1% | 20 | stop | 27.9 → 24.7 |
| HD | 2022-02-24 | 2022-06-22 | 267.34 | 240.33 | -10.2% | 81 | stop | 20.0 → 32.3 |
| WMT | 2022-05-20 | 2022-07-18 | 37.90 | 40.75 | 7.4% | 38 | rsi_exit | 16.0 → 61.4 |
| AMZN | 2022-05-11 | 2022-07-21 | 108.10 | 123.20 | 13.9% | 48 | rsi_exit | 23.4 → 62.5 |
| TSLA | 2022-05-25 | 2022-07-22 | 207.95 | 276.22 | 32.7% | 39 | rsi_exit | 29.2 → 66.1 |
| BRK.B | 2022-06-22 | 2022-07-29 | 267.38 | 297.42 | 11.1% | 26 | rsi_exit | 25.6 → 61.7 |
| BAC | 2022-06-14 | 2022-08-11 | 28.83 | 32.30 | 11.9% | 40 | rsi_exit | 28.7 → 62.9 |
| ADBE | 2022-09-06 | 2022-09-15 | 367.23 | 323.15 | -12.1% | 7 | stop | 29.4 → 23.3 |
| NVDA | 2022-09-02 | 2022-09-16 | 14.06 | 12.65 | -10.1% | 9 | stop | 29.9 → 33.2 |
| MSFT | 2022-09-07 | 2022-10-10 | 246.49 | 221.84 | -10.1% | 23 | stop | 29.9 → 34.0 |
| JNJ | 2022-08-15 | 2022-10-25 | 147.18 | 151.90 | 3.1% | 50 | rsi_exit | 29.2 → 64.0 |
| ADBE | 2022-09-19 | 2022-10-26 | 294.88 | 318.16 | 7.8% | 27 | rsi_exit | 21.9 → 60.5 |
| PFE | 2022-09-01 | 2022-10-27 | 35.78 | 36.31 | 1.4% | 39 | rsi_exit | 28.3 → 61.1 |
| HD | 2022-09-16 | 2022-10-31 | 244.32 | 267.34 | 9.3% | 31 | rsi_exit | 29.6 → 61.9 |
| PG | 2022-10-10 | 2022-10-31 | 111.09 | 122.61 | 10.3% | 15 | rsi_exit | 26.7 → 63.6 |
| META | 2022-10-28 | 2022-11-03 | 98.71 | 88.84 | -10.1% | 4 | stop | 23.9 → 23.1 |
| AMZN | 2022-11-02 | 2022-11-09 | 97.32 | 87.59 | -10.1% | 5 | stop | 28.2 → 23.4 |
| TSLA | 2022-11-09 | 2022-11-21 | 190.78 | 171.70 | -10.1% | 8 | stop | 28.6 → 28.3 |
| META | 2022-11-07 | 2022-12-05 | 93.95 | 120.69 | 28.3% | 19 | rsi_exit | 25.4 → 60.7 |
| TSLA | 2022-11-23 | 2022-12-14 | 173.57 | 156.21 | -10.1% | 14 | stop | 29.9 → 30.9 |
| TSLA | 2022-12-19 | 2022-12-20 | 154.00 | 138.60 | -10.1% | 1 | stop | 28.6 → 24.1 |
| TSLA | 2022-12-22 | 2022-12-22 | 136.00 | 122.40 | -10.1% | 0 | stop | 24.1 → 20.4 |
| TSLA | 2022-12-27 | 2023-01-03 | 117.50 | 105.75 | -10.1% | 4 | stop | 19.8 → 24.9 |
| DIS | 2022-11-10 | 2023-01-12 | 87.02 | 95.50 | 9.6% | 42 | rsi_exit | 27.5 → 61.0 |
| BAC | 2022-12-09 | 2023-01-17 | 29.36 | 31.72 | 7.9% | 24 | rsi_exit | 28.9 → 64.5 |
| GOOGL | 2022-11-04 | 2023-01-23 | 84.65 | 97.09 | 14.6% | 52 | rsi_exit | 29.2 → 66.4 |
| AAPL | 2022-12-29 | 2023-01-24 | 125.75 | 137.85 | 9.5% | 16 | rsi_exit | 29.7 → 61.9 |
| TSLA | 2023-01-05 | 2023-01-27 | 110.51 | 162.43 | 46.8% | 15 | rsi_exit | 29.5 → 65.7 |
| PFE | 2023-01-19 | 2023-03-02 | 35.75 | 32.17 | -10.1% | 29 | stop | 27.8 → 26.5 |
| JNJ | 2023-01-24 | 2023-03-09 | 151.84 | 136.66 | -10.1% | 31 | stop | 29.6 → 29.1 |
| PG | 2023-02-10 | 2023-03-21 | 124.98 | 132.24 | 5.7% | 26 | rsi_exit | 28.4 → 65.3 |
| ADBE | 2023-02-27 | 2023-03-22 | 322.02 | 375.00 | 16.3% | 17 | rsi_exit | 29.8 → 64.4 |
| BAC | 2023-03-10 | 2023-03-23 | 27.90 | 25.11 | -10.1% | 9 | stop | 20.5 → 22.9 |
| UNH | 2023-01-19 | 2023-04-04 | 446.35 | 462.15 | 3.4% | 52 | rsi_exit | 27.4 → 61.9 |
| TSLA | 2023-04-27 | 2023-05-23 | 152.64 | 186.20 | 21.9% | 18 | rsi_exit | 29.5 → 65.2 |
| PFE | 2023-03-08 | 2023-05-24 | 32.53 | 32.70 | 0.4% | 54 | rsi_exit | 28.6 → 61.2 |
| ADBE | 2023-05-05 | 2023-05-26 | 338.98 | 396.72 | 16.9% | 15 | rsi_exit | 30.0 → 66.5 |
| BAC | 2023-03-27 | 2023-06-07 | 25.70 | 27.18 | 5.6% | 50 | rsi_exit | 24.6 → 60.3 |
| PG | 2023-05-25 | 2023-07-03 | 133.60 | 139.10 | 4.0% | 25 | rsi_exit | 29.6 → 60.5 |
| AAPL | 2023-08-08 | 2023-09-05 | 177.05 | 185.77 | 4.8% | 19 | rsi_exit | 29.6 → 62.1 |
| TSLA | 2023-08-18 | 2023-09-12 | 214.12 | 270.76 | 26.3% | 16 | rsi_exit | 28.8 → 63.1 |
| PG | 2023-09-29 | 2023-10-26 | 135.41 | 140.46 | 3.6% | 19 | rsi_exit | 28.9 → 61.7 |
| PFE | 2023-09-19 | 2023-10-27 | 27.66 | 24.90 | -10.1% | 28 | stop | 29.8 → 32.4 |
| HD | 2023-09-22 | 2023-10-27 | 285.56 | 257.00 | -10.1% | 25 | stop | 28.9 → 22.5 |
| V | 2023-09-27 | 2023-11-03 | 225.07 | 239.59 | 6.3% | 27 | rsi_exit | 28.5 → 61.0 |
| BAC | 2023-09-27 | 2023-11-06 | 25.47 | 26.71 | 4.8% | 28 | rsi_exit | 29.6 → 63.2 |
| MA | 2023-10-27 | 2023-11-20 | 360.53 | 394.21 | 9.2% | 16 | rsi_exit | 23.1 → 62.1 |
| TSLA | 2023-10-26 | 2023-11-29 | 211.32 | 249.21 | 17.8% | 23 | rsi_exit | 29.8 → 60.6 |
| JNJ | 2023-10-27 | 2023-12-01 | 136.36 | 144.81 | 6.1% | 24 | rsi_exit | 25.7 → 64.0 |
| AAPL | 2024-01-05 | 2024-01-23 | 179.80 | 192.67 | 7.1% | 11 | rsi_exit | 29.8 → 60.7 |
| TSLA | 2024-01-19 | 2024-01-25 | 209.99 | 188.99 | -10.1% | 4 | stop | 28.8 → 17.4 |
| PFE | 2023-12-14 | 2024-03-12 | 22.36 | 24.01 | 7.3% | 59 | rsi_exit | 25.8 → 60.8 |
| TSLA | 2024-01-29 | 2024-03-14 | 185.63 | 167.07 | -10.1% | 32 | stop | 18.2 → 27.7 |
| ADBE | 2024-02-21 | 2024-03-15 | 539.76 | 485.78 | -10.1% | 17 | stop | 29.6 → 29.8 |
| TSLA | 2024-03-18 | 2024-04-18 | 170.02 | 151.25 | -11.1% | 22 | stop | 29.0 → 31.9 |
| UNH | 2024-03-05 | 2024-04-19 | 457.35 | 473.06 | 3.3% | 32 | rsi_exit | 26.7 → 60.6 |
| PFE | 2024-04-18 | 2024-05-03 | 21.50 | 23.63 | 9.8% | 11 | rsi_exit | 27.2 → 63.5 |
| AAPL | 2024-03-05 | 2024-05-06 | 168.92 | 180.38 | 6.7% | 43 | rsi_exit | 28.8 → 66.8 |
| JNJ | 2024-04-09 | 2024-05-17 | 141.34 | 144.43 | 2.1% | 28 | rsi_exit | 29.9 → 62.8 |
| HD | 2024-04-15 | 2024-06-14 | 326.75 | 327.97 | 0.3% | 43 | rsi_exit | 29.9 → 62.3 |
| ADBE | 2024-04-22 | 2024-06-17 | 470.22 | 525.51 | 11.6% | 39 | rsi_exit | 29.6 → 71.5 |
| MA | 2024-05-03 | 2024-06-25 | 438.97 | 452.36 | 2.9% | 35 | rsi_exit | 26.8 → 60.0 |
| DIS | 2024-05-16 | 2024-07-23 | 100.23 | 88.63 | -11.7% | 45 | stop | 29.9 → 21.6 |
| BAC | 2024-08-05 | 2024-09-03 | 34.06 | 38.76 | 13.7% | 20 | rsi_exit | 28.0 → 60.1 |
| AMZN | 2024-08-06 | 2024-09-13 | 161.71 | 187.00 | 15.5% | 27 | rsi_exit | 26.2 → 61.3 |
| MSFT | 2024-08-05 | 2024-09-16 | 382.43 | 423.90 | 10.7% | 29 | rsi_exit | 29.8 → 61.7 |
| DIS | 2024-07-25 | 2024-09-18 | 88.03 | 91.39 | 3.7% | 38 | rsi_exit | 19.8 → 61.8 |
| GOOGL | 2024-08-06 | 2024-10-01 | 158.11 | 166.63 | 5.3% | 39 | rsi_exit | 27.7 → 60.2 |
| PG | 2024-11-07 | 2024-11-22 | 154.36 | 165.97 | 7.4% | 11 | rsi_exit | 26.7 → 63.3 |
| PFE | 2024-11-12 | 2025-01-08 | 23.26 | 23.99 | 3.0% | 38 | rsi_exit | 27.8 → 60.9 |
| BRK.B | 2024-12-19 | 2025-01-21 | 451.73 | 471.00 | 4.2% | 19 | rsi_exit | 29.0 → 61.8 |
| JNJ | 2024-11-12 | 2025-01-28 | 146.39 | 145.78 | -0.5% | 50 | rsi_exit | 29.9 → 64.5 |
| PG | 2025-01-08 | 2025-01-28 | 153.43 | 161.96 | 5.5% | 12 | rsi_exit | 28.6 → 63.1 |
| ADBE | 2024-12-19 | 2025-02-12 | 443.41 | 458.00 | 3.2% | 35 | rsi_exit | 27.6 → 61.5 |
| AAPL | 2025-01-22 | 2025-02-18 | 218.21 | 242.66 | 11.1% | 18 | rsi_exit | 29.7 → 60.6 |
| UNH | 2024-12-13 | 2025-02-21 | 496.53 | 423.26 | -14.8% | 45 | stop | 29.8 → 27.7 |
| TSLA | 2025-02-26 | 2025-03-04 | 303.71 | 270.93 | -10.9% | 4 | stop | 28.9 → 26.5 |
| TSLA | 2025-03-06 | 2025-03-10 | 272.06 | 244.85 | -10.1% | 2 | stop | 29.9 → 20.6 |
| UNH | 2025-02-25 | 2025-03-24 | 443.69 | 498.11 | 12.2% | 19 | rsi_exit | 26.7 → 61.2 |
| GOOGL | 2025-02-28 | 2025-03-31 | 167.80 | 151.02 | -10.1% | 21 | stop | 27.5 → 33.3 |
| AMZN | 2025-02-28 | 2025-03-31 | 208.65 | 187.78 | -10.1% | 21 | stop | 29.8 → 35.4 |
| BAC | 2025-03-07 | 2025-04-03 | 40.19 | 36.17 | -10.1% | 19 | stop | 29.9 → 26.8 |
| JPM | 2025-03-11 | 2025-04-07 | 224.92 | 200.94 | -10.8% | 19 | stop | 24.8 → 30.4 |
| META | 2025-04-04 | 2025-05-05 | 504.58 | 588.84 | 16.6% | 20 | rsi_exit | 29.5 → 60.4 |
| DIS | 2025-04-04 | 2025-05-08 | 84.41 | 102.05 | 20.8% | 23 | rsi_exit | 22.8 → 69.5 |
| BAC | 2025-04-07 | 2025-05-09 | 34.02 | 40.60 | 19.2% | 23 | rsi_exit | 21.2 → 61.7 |
| ADBE | 2025-04-04 | 2025-05-13 | 359.00 | 395.90 | 10.2% | 26 | rsi_exit | 29.7 → 65.5 |
| SPY | 2025-04-07 | 2025-05-13 | 482.40 | 575.32 | 19.1% | 25 | rsi_exit | 23.4 → 65.2 |
| UNH | 2025-05-05 | 2025-05-13 | 385.97 | 324.68 | -16.0% | 6 | stop | 25.7 → 14.8 |
| UNH | 2025-05-15 | 2025-08-01 | 265.84 | 239.26 | -10.1% | 53 | stop | 14.5 → 24.4 |
| UNH | 2025-08-05 | 2025-08-18 | 234.87 | 305.01 | 29.7% | 9 | rsi_exit | 26.9 → 64.3 |
| PG | 2025-07-16 | 2025-08-20 | 147.37 | 154.05 | 4.4% | 25 | rsi_exit | 29.6 → 60.5 |
| BRK.B | 2025-08-05 | 2025-08-21 | 460.60 | 487.24 | 5.7% | 12 | rsi_exit | 29.0 → 62.0 |
| ADBE | 2025-08-04 | 2025-09-19 | 351.16 | 368.94 | 5.0% | 33 | rsi_exit | 27.4 → 60.2 |
| DIS | 2025-10-13 | 2025-11-13 | 108.81 | 107.34 | -1.5% | 23 | rsi_exit | 29.7 → 64.5 |
| HD | 2025-10-08 | 2025-11-18 | 378.59 | 333.05 | -12.1% | 29 | stop | 29.3 → 18.2 |
| META | 2025-11-03 | 2025-11-18 | 654.30 | 588.87 | -10.1% | 11 | stop | 27.1 → 24.7 |
| V | 2025-11-19 | 2025-12-12 | 319.60 | 345.92 | 8.1% | 16 | rsi_exit | 29.8 → 63.5 |
| MA | 2025-11-19 | 2025-12-15 | 525.57 | 570.08 | 8.4% | 17 | rsi_exit | 28.8 → 63.1 |
| UNH | 2025-11-07 | 2026-01-06 | 313.29 | 343.70 | 9.6% | 39 | rsi_exit | 29.4 → 60.6 |
| HD | 2025-11-20 | 2026-01-12 | 329.51 | 369.38 | 12.0% | 34 | rsi_exit | 17.6 → 68.3 |
| META | 2025-11-20 | 2026-01-27 | 601.93 | 673.39 | 11.8% | 44 | rsi_exit | 23.3 → 60.4 |
| AAPL | 2026-01-07 | 2026-02-03 | 262.49 | 268.47 | 2.2% | 18 | rsi_exit | 29.9 → 62.5 |
| ADBE | 2026-01-14 | 2026-02-03 | 308.57 | 277.71 | -10.1% | 13 | stop | 27.6 → 23.4 |
| MSFT | 2026-01-22 | 2026-02-05 | 444.80 | 400.32 | -10.1% | 10 | stop | 26.0 → 24.6 |
| ADBE | 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-24 | 271.68 | 244.51 | -10.1% | 11 | stop | 27.1 → 32.9 |
| MSFT | 2026-02-09 | 2026-03-27 | 402.30 | 360.44 | -10.5% | 33 | stop | 29.1 → 22.3 |
| UNH | 2026-01-28 | 2026-04-08 | 279.93 | 310.23 | 10.7% | 48 | rsi_exit | 28.4 → 67.5 |
| AMZN | 2026-02-09 | 2026-04-09 | 208.97 | 225.23 | 7.7% | 41 | rsi_exit | 28.6 → 60.7 |
| META | 2026-03-27 | 2026-04-15 | 539.60 | 666.38 | 23.4% | 12 | rsi_exit | 25.8 → 64.9 |
| MA | 2026-01-22 | 2026-04-30 | 528.13 | 503.66 | -4.7% | 68 | rsi_exit | 29.2 → 61.3 |
| HD | 2026-03-13 | 2026-05-13 | 339.15 | 305.23 | -10.1% | 42 | stop | 29.2 → 31.7 |
| ADBE | 2026-04-13 | 2026-06-02 | 227.14 | 267.98 | 17.9% | 35 | rsi_exit | 29.2 → 66.0 |
| JNJ | 2026-04-22 | 2026-06-10 | 223.78 | 237.68 | 6.1% | 34 | rsi_exit | 28.6 → 63.0 |
| ADBE | 2026-06-15 | 2026-07-17 | 206.88 | 235.26 | 13.6% | 22 | rsi_exit | 29.4 → 60.0 |
| PFE | 2026-06-25 | 2026-07-29 | 23.77 | 25.35 | 6.5% | 23 | rsi_exit | 27.8 → 61.7 |
| MSFT | 2026-06-26 | 2026-07-31 | 356.48 | 449.15 | 25.9% | 24 | rsi_exit | 28.8 → 71.8 |
| WMT | 2026-06-01 | 2026-08-20 | 114.46 | 103.01 | -10.1% | 56 | stop | 29.0 → 29.8 |
| TSLA | 2026-07-24 | 2026-08-26 | 320.72 | 345.82 | 7.7% | 23 | open | 29.1 → 49.8 |
Files: trades_pooled5_u2021_e30_x60_s10.csv, equity_pooled5_u2021_e30_x60_s10.csv, yearly_pooled5_u2021_e30_x60_s10.csv, monthly_pooled5_u2021_e30_x60_s10.csv, summary_pooled5_u2021_e30_x60_s10.json.